The Primetime Emmy Awards air live on Sunday at 8pm EST on NBC. Here’s a little preview of the major acting and show categories, plus opinions of who should win and prediction of who will actually bring home the gold.
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series: I have no idea why Matthew Morrison was nominated for Glee. I’m not an avid watcher of the show, but from what I’ve seen his character seems almost ancillary, like he’s there to bring the kids together. And as much as I adore Tony Shalhoub’s brilliant portrayal of the obsessive-compulsive Monk, I don’t think the show is a comedy as much as it is a drama with humor liberally sprinkled in. (Although it’d be nice for him to bring home another Emmy as a swansong to the character.) But that’s just nitpicking. Alec Baldwin is still howlingly hilarious as 30 Rock’s NBC/GE/Sheinhardt Wigs exec Jack Donaghy and has already brought home the gold for the past two years. Big Bang Theory’s Jim Parsons, as the freakishly geekish Sheldon, has become the show’s star and an unlikely sex symbol. While The Office has “jumped the shark” in its seventh season (I mean, Jim & Pam have a baby – that breeze you feel is Fonzie passing overhead on his waterskis), Steve Carrell can still make comedic gold out of mediocre scripts – plus, he announced that next year his Michael Scott will depart. Larry David is still playing the grumpy old man on Curb Your Enthusiasm and has been brilliant this season as his fictional self preps a Seinfeld reunion show.
SHOULD WIN: Alec Baldwin.
WILL WIN: Steve Carrell.
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series: Lea Michelle rides the Glee wave to her first nomination as driven diva Rachel Berry. She’s definitely the breakout star of the show, but she faces some very stiff competition in this category. It says a lot about Amy Poehler’s talent that her hilarious performance was recognized for the otherwise mediocre Parks & Recreation. Despite cancellation, Julia Louis-Dreyfus has two Emmys in 12 nominations. Will her performance in New Adventures of Old Christine make it three? Edie Falco has returned to cable in Showtime’s Nurse Jackie and while she has taken home the statue for her work in The Sopranos, this is her first comedy nod. Toni Collette is positively brilliant as a woman suffering from multiple personalities in The United States of Tara. She can switch gears on a dime and usually does – and not always at the most opportune moments. And, of course, you can’t rule out past winner Tina Fey as the put-upon Liz Lemon in 30 Rock. The fact that Fey continues to give consistently funny performances while serving as writer and executive producer of the show proves that Fey is the hardest working woman in show bidness.
SHOULD WIN: Toni Collette.
WILL WIN: Lea Michelle.
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series: When you look at the caliber of nominees here, you really can’t go wrong. Matthew Fox gave his best performance during Lost’s final season and really carried the show during the trippy last episode. Kyle Chandler, as the compassionate small town high school football coach on Friday Night Lights, finally nabs a long overdue nomination. Bryan Cranston of AMC’s Breaking Bad has already brought home Emmy the past two years and seems poised to make it a threepeat. Believe it or not, House’s Hugh Laurie has been nominated five times but has not won and that makes him the sentimental favorite. It’s criminal that he hasn’t won this award before. Michael C. Hall is been on fire this season as everyone’s favorite serial killer Dexter and has an armload of awards to show for it. Hall also battled cancer, so a win would be the icing on the cake. Jon Hamm of Mad Men, claimed a Golden Globe this year for his performance as 60s ad exec Don Draper.
SHOULD WIN: All of them. Seriously, it’s hard to pick just one actor.
WILL WIN: Um…I’m going to put my chips on Hamm.
Outstanding Actress in a Drama Series: January Jones has been given a lot of meat to work with and has turned Betty Draper of Mad Men into one of the more complex and interesting characters on television. Kyra Sedgwick, like Hugh Laurie, has been nominated five times for The Closer and is hoping to be the bride instead of the bridesmaid this time around. Glen Close of Damages could read a Denny’s menu for an hour and still get nominated. I don’t much like Mariska Hargitay’s chances, partially because Law & Order: SVU has gotten pretty ridiculous and far-fetched lately that Hargitay hasn’t had much to work with. The Good Wife Juliana Margulies has been racking up award after award, so it’ll be interesting to see if she can take the big prize. Connie Britton, like her Friday Night Lights hubby Chandler, nails down a long-overdue nod.
SHOULD WIN: Connie Britton.
WILL WIN: January Jones.
Oustanding Comedy Series: Curb Your Enthusiasm has definitely bounced back from its darker storylines of recent years and the Seinfeld reunion was definitely a treat. What can one say about Glee that hasn’t been said? It’s gone from being just a show to being a phenomenon, and that’s not just FOX hyperbole. Nurse Jackie is sort of the “little show that could” in the category this year, but it’s earned its spot. The Office is probably here more because of its cast than anything else, but I’m among those who hate the fact that not only did Jim and Pam get together, but they had a baby this season as well (both official “Jumping the Shark” offenses). 30 Rock, on the other hand, shows no signs of shark jumping and part of that reason is that it is brazenly unsentimental. Modern Family was a freshman sensation for ABC and has probably the best ensemble cast on television (anchored by the genius of Ed O’Neill).
SHOULD WIN: Modern Family, if only because I think the much deserved winner will be…
WILL WIN: 30 Rock.
Outstanding Drama Series: The last season of Lost was hit-or-miss and it’s twisty-turny storylines caused viewers to be…well, lost. The Good Wife has proven to be both intriguing and, with its main storyline about a political scandal, almost painfully relevant. Mad Men is proving time and again just why it is probably the best show on television as Don Draper copes with his divorce. True Blood is scary, suspenseful and funny all at the same time. I’ll take Bill and Sookie over Edward and Bella any day of the week. Breaking Bad is giving its AMC sibling Mad Men a run for its money as the best show on TV. It’s been so much fun to see former chemistry teacher Walter White just fall farther and farther. Dexter just keeps slashing away (hah!) at its completion.
SHOULD WIN: Breaking Bad.
WILL WIN: Mad Men.
Other Stuff to Watch For: Probably the most-watched storyline of the Emmy’s is whether or not Conan O’Brien will win for his seven-month reign on The Tonight Show. Not only that, but what will he say? (Don’t forget, the Emmys are being broadcast on the network that divorced him, NBC.)…if Neil Patrick Harris doesn’t finally get an Emmy as Barney Stinson of How I Met Your Mother, I will eat my face. And if Jon Cryer gets one for the banal Two and a Half Men, I’ll eat his face…Jane Lynch should run away with a Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy trophy as the imposing gym teacher on Glee…While I’ve long maintained that Michael Emerson’s Benjamin Linus on Lost will go down in the annals of TV as one of the greatest characters ever, I think castmate Terry O’Quinn will beat him out for the Emmy this year. O’Quinn was essentially playing two John Lockes this year and playing them brilliantly. –Ron Motta